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Public Gamble landed as Estimate wins Gold Cup for the Queen

Some of the money came from serious punters who judged that the Queen’s filly, Estimate (7/2f), had a serious chance in the Ascot Gold Cup, but much more came from occasional punters and those who hoped the monarch might at last win the race she has so desired for more than half a century.

And for once, both the professionals and the eternal optimists got it right as the Sir Michael Stoute-trained four-year-old stayed on in tenacious fashion under an inspired Ryan Moore ride to get the better of a four-horse war inside the final furlong, eventually prevailing from Ireland’s Simenon, France’s Top Trip and last year’s winner Colour Vision.

Two years ago, Moore had broken down in tears as the weight of public expectation had weighed heavily on his slim shoulders and he could only guide the royal colt Carlton House into third place in the Epsom Derby when sent off favourite, an easy pick to make when you can see the horse’s pedigree.

However, this time, the former champion jockey was all smiles as he brought the attractive daughter of German sire, Monsun, back to a rapturous reception that topped even her own winning effort in last year’s Queen’s Vase at the same meeting.

The most unique feature of the win though was the sheer joy shown by the Queen and her excitement at winning the showcase staying race on the calendar, her obvious delight and rarely seen animated expressions revealing a rarely seen other side to the head of the royal family.

Estimate will be a tremendous addition to the royal studs, but no details have yet emerged as to where she will race next. Runner-up, Simenon, may well bid for the Melbourne Cup in November, while Top Trip is likely to bid for the Group 1 Prix du Cadran at Longchamp on Arc de Triomphe weekend in October.
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