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Backing and
Laying Betting Strategies on Betting Exchanges |
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How do you define yourself as a punter?
Do you simply bet for fun to make matches more exciting to watch, do you put in
research and casually read up on the recent form before putting down your bets?
Or do you take it one step further and develop detailed betting strategies and
look at it as a form of income that you have to work hard at to make a
profit?
Whatever type of punter you are there will often be some thought
that goes into the bets that you make, and as with most things in life you get
out of it what you put into it.
Most punters place bets on markets they
are familiar with: over/under goal markets, some pick home favorites, others
away favorites, adventurous ones play overpriced underdogs. We often stick with
the same strategies, however at times re-evaluating ones strategy and
taking a step back to gain some perspective can boost profits. It is often
necessary to apply different strategies in different situations. Here we
discuss some basic
betting
exchange strategies.
Greening Up Live Tennis Matches |
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Figure 1: Laying bets on Tennis Matches |
Locking in a profit on live
events is a strategy widely used by
backing and
laying on betting exchanges. By greening up on live tennis
events you can significantly reduce or eliminate risk. For example, backing
Murray to win at 1.78 with $100 and then laying Murray later in match at 1.29
with $100. By laying you invest another $29 (shows as liability) to hedge your
first stake. In the end you invested $129 (100 backing plus 29 laying Murray)
and if Murray wins you profit $49 (178 winnings - 129 invested), but lose
nothing if he doesn't (129 payout 129 invested).
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Figure 2: Liability when
Laying a Bet on a Betting Exchange |
Laying a smaller amount than
$100 increases your profit if Murray wins, but you expose yourself to risk of
losing a proportional part of your investment. If things go the wrong way,
its certainly much better than losing the whole bank. The usual
acceptable profit to risk ratio in Forex exchange is 3:1, so you can use that
as a reference point when calculating.
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Figure 3: Greening Up on an Exchange when Odds are
Favorable |
Underdogs If you are
an experienced player and have that hunch for playing high priced underdogs,
betting exchanges almost always offer much higher odds. Bookmakers trail behind
on higher odds entrants for two reasons. Firstly bookies will generally have a
built in house edge of 6-12% on every event - weve all seen tennis
matches at various bookmakers where two evenly matched players are both paying
1.88 odds. While odds on bet exchanges sometimes go close to a 100 % return,
where each player is paying out at odds approaching 2.00. Secondly bookmakers
are very afraid of high odds because they don't want to risk someone exploiting
them for a large win. On a betting exchange there is no risk for the house as
no one is betting against it. They operate as any other stock exchange where
people buy and sell odds between each other and the house charges small
commissions for the service they provide.
Laying False
Favorites If you are an experienced punter and know the ins and outs of
horse racing or similar sports like greyhound racing, laying a favorite can be
profitable. Value betting is, as they say, the only possible way to beat the
bookie. Laying false favorites is just a version of value betting on a betting
exchange. It requires a decent bankroll and a lot of time and discipline, but
in the long run it gives you the edge if you are good at finding value. Value
is the difference between offered odds and ''your odds'', where various tools
and mathematical methods must be applied when calculating them.
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Figure 4: Laying False Favorites on Premier
League |
If you don't know much about
horse racing but are an avid football fan, you can lay false favorites on
Premier League relegation odds. For example, you have insight into QPR's plans
on upcoming transfer window. You've been tipped that the owners are injecting
50 million pounds in fresh legs which convinces you that QPR is going to avoid
relegation this season. So much so that you decide to lay their chances with
$300 on 1.93. In the end QPR avoid relegation and you profit $300. The downside
to this is that you have to wait for the result at the end of season to see
your winnings.
This is why this method is used in sports where with a
high frequency of events which means faster turnover. Punters that use it
choose betting exchanges since they offer much higher odds than bookies and
there are no betting limits. If you want to try it, choose wisely as there are
differences in betting exchanges.
World Bet ExchangeWBX.com comes highly recommended as they charge only
3% commission on all team events like football, tennis, cricket, basketball and
more. They also offer a loyalty discount on commission which goes up to 60%
which means over time you can improve your commission to a very acceptable
1.2%, making it the lowest commission betting exchange to place your back and
lay bets!
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