|Despite not being
one of the largest online betting markets, there is a profit to be made on
cricket betting, even if you are not an expert on the game. The reason for this
is that like baseball, cricket is a game dominated by statistics. This
therefore gives the opportunity for bettors with limited knowledge of cricket
to have an instant and reliable source of statistics to help them make an
informed bet. If you are new to the possibilities then you can
to bet on cricket here.
players perform across all formats - e.g. Stuart Broad, Chris Gayle, Joe Root -
most tend to reserve their best cricket for ideal conditions and format. It is
perfectly possible to be the world's best in one format while poor in
Only the very best can perform well in all conditions. For
example, most batsmen from the Indian sub-continent have failed to make the
same impact when touring England, Australia and South Africa. The reason is
that they learn the game and play mostly on Indian pitches, which tend to be
slow, with much lower bounce than encountered in those other countries. Equally
for the same reason, English players have rarely produced their very best on
Read a Pitch
Pitch conditions are
pivotal and reading them is one of the keys to successful betting. Arguably,
the pace of the pitch, how much help it offers to bowlers and how quickly it
deteriorates will have as great an impact on the outcome of a match or an
innings total as the players themselves.
You should always have an
opinion on whether the pitch will favour batsmen or bowlers and which type; how
it will be playing later in the day or in Test matches, tomorrow; what the
run-rate will be in both the short-term and over the course of the innings and
match. This subject is a constant matter of discussion amongst commentators
whose expertise is invaluable while you learn the art, and a useful extra
opinion once you've got the hang of it.
overhead conditions not only determine whether there is to be play or not, but
the nature of the match. If there's plenty of cloud cover, swing bowlers will
enjoy a marked advantage and batting totals are likely to be substantially
lower than average. If the sun is out, those faster bowlers will receive much
less assistance, transferring the advantage to the batsman. However constant
sunshine will bake and break up the pitch, favouring spinners later in the
An extreme example is Headingley, a ground famous for favouring
swing bowling, but that has also seen many scores over 500 in good weather.
During the 2009 Ashes series, Australia bowled England out in bowler-friendly
overcast conditions on the first day for just 102, before making 445 on the
same pitch once the sun came out. This despite England being clearly the better
side over the course of the series.
When bad weather causes the number
of overs to be reduced in one-day matches, a complex formula known as the
Duckworth Lewis method is used to reset batting totals. This can have a huge
impact on the match winner market and requires mastering.
Markets and odds get carried away with stats quite often in
cricket. For example in Tests, the draw often trades extremely short before the
pitch suddenly deteriorates and teams often fail to chase down supposedly easy
targets in all formats.
Also the runs total markets regularly see
massive upsets. A fairly frequent scenario involves a team losing its last five
wickets for less than 50 runs. Alternatively, teams quite regularly hit 70+
runs off the last five overs in T20. In both scenarios, some very short-priced
bets will have lost and big prices can win more then they should.
Check out past results at the ground in
question, using a tool like Stats Guru on www.espncricinfo.com.
advantage, follow the form
Whereas limited overs matches tend to be
closely matched, there are many one-sided Test matches as seen in the Ashes
2015. Often analysis of the teams, weather and ground stats, will point in one
clear direction. When it does, don't be afraid to take short odds as there are
many rock-solid favourites in Test cricket
India. For a stretch from the
beginning of 2009, they won 10 out of 15 home Tests, losing only once. Away
from home, they only won four from 20 and lost their last eight to England and
Australia. Yet in those two away series, because India are roughly of the same
standard in general terms, neither home side was very low priced before landing
South Africa. At a time when they were
constantly challenging for world number one status, the Proteas lost all four
Tests played in Durban between 2009 and 2011. Despite the bad omens, the
visitors started the last two matches as big outsiders, on the basis of wider
form at different grounds.
Lay the draw
While being careful
not to get caught out by the weather, trading the draw price in-running offers
a chance to utilise all that stats and pitch analysis.
deteriorate sharply as the pitch gets older, making life tough for batsmen as
bounce becomes uneven and cracks aid the spinners. It is perfectly normal for a
pitch to yield 400+ runs in the first innings but less than 150 in the fourth.
Over the first three days when the pitch is favouring batsmen, the draw price
invariably collapses, based on a false assumption that conditions won't change.
When they do, wickets tend to tumble in quick batches, dramatically
transforming the match and markets. Matches often produce results despite the
draw trading heavily odds-on.
This isn't, however, a plan to follow
blindly. Always maintain a good idea of how many overs remain in the match and
whether there will be time for the changes to take effect. Study past innings
totals at the ground to identify the scoring trends.
Just as the draw price can over-react to good batting, so too
can innings runs markets. If two batsmen establish a decent partnership, their
team's run line will rise with more or less each run. Partnerships can't last
forever though and were to some extent already priced in at the initial quote.
When a wicket falls, more often follow as new batsmen struggle to settle. The
potential for a batting collapse and dramatic betting turnaround is always live
and many odds-on bets are turned over this way. As a rule, it might pay to
blindly back unders every time a partnership hits a milestone like 100 or
40 and 50 Over Matches
Although 50 over matches are
famous for nailbiting close finishes and volatile betting, there are many
one-sided matches. Sometimes a particularly advantageous toss stacks the odds
in one direction. Sometimes the team batting first is bowled out and fails to
set a meaningful target.
Until a substantial part of the first innings
has been completed and the pitch been assessed, there is great uncertainty
about what represents a good total. It makes good sense, therefore, to spend
the first part of the match focused on the innings runs markets, fine-tuning
that pitch analysis and forming strong opinions for the second innings run
Some grounds have small boundaries, offering the potential for
very fast scoring during power plays and the end of the innings, but are hard
to accumulate runs on during the middle of innings. A recent example came at St
Kitts, during the West Indies v New Zealand series. Scoring was moderate in the
three first innings played there, averaging around five runs per over. Yet
despite limited tail-enders batting during the last five overs, the average
rose to nine per over as the short boundaries were regularly cleared.
40 and 50 Over Matches
Back extremes, especially on run
lines. If it comes off, extremely high scores are possible, which will always
be available at big prices. If it doesn't, wickets can tumble fast and a team
fall well short of setting a challenging total. Consequently, backing very high
or very low totals at big prices often pays.
Pre-innings run lines in IPL tend to average around 160. Yet
Bangalore, Delhi and Jaipur are all high scoring grounds and teams regularly