|
|
. |
 |
 rendspotting |
|
| |
|
 |
| |
 |
| |
| Kevin Pullein
|
| Fri Nov 14, 2008 |
| |
 |
| |
|
|
|
If any of the "big four" in
the Premier League are playing away to somebody else, how many goals will they
score? In just over half of all games, the answer, perhaps unexpectedly, is
either none or one. As Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester United and Arsenal rarely
lose, it follows that their opponents will almost always score very few goals
indeed and it is sometimes possible to find value bets about them doing so.
With Paddy Power and Blue Square you can bet on the exact number of
goals a team will score in a match. With Boylesports you can bet over or under
a line while with other bookmakers you can bet on clean sheets. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
The bets that sometimes represent value
for money are on a low number of goals being scored by teams in fixtures that
are expected to be one-sided. The figures that follow are from Premier League
games played during the past four seasons by Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester
United and Arsenal against teams outside the "big four". They kept a clean
sheet in 56% of their home games and in nearly nine out of every 10 they
conceded either one goal or none. Away from home the proportions were slightly
smaller - clean sheets in just under half of their games, and no more than one
goal conceded in over eight out of 10.
The popular impression of the
quartet is that they thrash almost everyone else. However in more than six out
of 10 home games, and nearly eight out of 10 away, they scored two goals or
fewer.
Goals, like many other things, occur less often than most people
imagine. For bettors, good prices can sometimes be found about few goals being
scored by the top dogs, but even more often about few goals being scored by the
underdogs.
|
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Main Menu
